Hi friends !
I am putting my article which got published in Korea Times under the "Thoughts
of the Times".I have published a couple of articles in the same newspaper.If
you like read today's article,which appeared on 20th April,1999.
Thanks for reading..^^
North Korea뭩 Missile Threat : A Smart step ?
People in the North Korea are starving, the economy is in doldrums, and its
government is an international pariah. At such a moment, it most needs
outside help. Outside help not to keep the well being of the nation but to
keep the nation well ahead in the military might to threaten its neighbors
especially Japan, South Korea and their ally, the United Sates. North could
garner the outside help from United States, Japan and South Korea. It enraged
the potential benefactors by testing a missile. According to a defector to
South Korea, over 3 million people have died because of the food shortage. In
such a critical and alarming situation, it was imperative for the North Korea
to make a good deal with its benefactors.
Six months after the North Korea shocked the world by firing a rocket over
Japan and later threatened to fire more. Japan interpreted it as the direct
threat to the her sovereignty. The unanswered question remained was whether
the move by North Korea was a blunder or a show of geo-political smart? The
answer of this question depended largely on the outcome of the Pyongyang -
Washington talks on the nuke site inspection and food aid to the starving
nation. Definitely Japan was the most worried nation by the launch of the so
called Satellite which Japanese claimed as firing of the Taepodong 1 missile,
that can hit any part of Japan and can penetrate deeply in China. What could
have been the reason of firing the rocket? Maybe the best answer is, the
desperateness of the North Korea to get the aid from Washington, Tokyo and
Seoul and to muscle its capability of showing the might that it can put the
satellite in the space. Though the debate remains about the launch satellite
or missile but one thing that clearly showed was the technological
advancement and North Korea뭩 ability to use the two stage rocket.
In the US, the firing of the rocket strengthened the hands of the critics of
the president Clinton뭩 policies towards North Korea. They argued that the
Clinton administration was too soft on the North Korean government and called
into question the 1994 pact under which North Korea is being compensated for
giving up its nuclear weapons program. The test also prompted Japan to have
close cooperation in the defense ties with the United States. Japan also
funded the spy satellite project, greater cooperation between Japan and US on
the missile defense
In the months since the test, however, the policy makers seem to have come to
the approach as before the firing : it뭩 better to engage North Korea than to
isolate it. Tokyo has also rolled back most of the punishment it imposed on
North Korea immediately after the test firing of the rocket over Japan.
Tokyo, meanwhile, is signaling a more active approach towards North Korea and
Seoul is continuing the "comprehensive package" to encourage North to give up
its aggressive ways.
The one glaring lesson form the test is that North Korea뭩 missile
capabilities are much more advanced than what the intelligence sources had
reported. The Taepodong 1 is capable of hitting all of Japan, deep into china
and can reach the United States. Though it뭩 not clear that this missile can
threaten the mainland United Sates or not but definitely it can achieve that
capability in near future. North can also threaten the interests of the
United States widely in the South-East Asia.
Such a capability combined with fears that North Korea is using an
underground site for the development of nuclear weapons could make a wider
package deal with North Korea even more urgent imperative. Undoubtedly, the
missile test by North Korea was a gambit to get a wider compensation deal
than the one offered under the 1994 pact.
Through all of this, one major player has held constant : South Korea. Since
taking the office a year ago, president Kim Dae-Jung has pushed the "sunshine
policy" of greater economic and diplomatic contact with the North instead of
the political isolation.
The missile tests were an effort by North Korea to show it is still a force
to be reckoned with despite the famine, prevailing poverty and diplomatic
isolation. Pyongyang had a very strong incentive to show the world it is
still robust in some "critical areas" of the advance technology and missile
development program. Moreover, the North has shown its technological
advancement and capability to launch a two stage rocket and to put something
in the orbit and can be a good dealer with its antagonists on this issue.
What do you think?^^
Write ur commments back.
Bye for now`
:) for u all!